Sasnovich vs Mertens: prediction for the WTA Luxembourg match
Belarusian player won three out of four most recent matches against Mertens. On September 16, opponents will meet each other once again at Luxembourg tournament.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich is fighting for a place in Top-100 during this season. So far Belarusian player is not good enough to be one of 100 best players in the world. She is currently at 111th position in WTA rankings.
Sasnovich is pretty successful on indoor courts. She recorded 96 victories and suffered 40 defeats. Sasnovich reached the second round in spring tournaments at Lyon and Saint-Petersburg. Her successful start at Luxembourg is not a surprise. In the first round Belarusian player recorded a victory over Tsurenko (7:5, 7:6).
Elise Mertens had a great start of the current season, she won a title of Melbourne tournament. But after that results of Belgian player went downhill. In most of the recent tournaments Mertens failed to advance past the third round.
World No. 16 player received a bye in the first round of Luxembourg tournament. Before that Mertens played at US Open in New York. In that competition she won three matches, but in the round of 16 she failed to put up a fight in the match against Sabalenka (4:6, 1:6).
In two out of four head-to-head matches an equal number of games was played in first two sets
This bet was successful in two most recent head-to-head matches
It is clear that Sasnovich is an uncomfortable opponent for Mertens. Belarusian player won three out of four head-to-head matches. For the most recent time she recorded a victory in the previous year at Palermo tournament. Sasnovich already played one match at Luxembourg, unlike her opponent. In our prediction we are expecting that Belarusian player will at least put up a fight to her opponent, so she should be able to hold on to a plus handicap on games.
Our prediction - Sasnovich to win with a handicap of (+5) games
Prediction: Handicap (+5) for Sasnovich
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Sasnovich is prone to long matches. Her serve is not so powerful, but she plays very well on the receive. We don't think that players will determine a winner too quickly. Mertens will need some time for adaptation.
Our second bet is on total over 19 games